WAR.MONITOR

0x735d76...3378cf

Smart Score

Win Rate

40.3%

Total P&L

+$10.2K

Trade Count

997

Sharpe Ratio

0.22

Sortino Ratio

37.74

Max Drawdown

22046.6%

ROI

100.9%

Profit Factor

5.47

Kelly Fraction

0.329

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

039.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	SELL	87.0¢	147.55	Mar 3
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	SELL	87.0¢	4.59	Mar 3
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	SELL	87.0¢	117	Mar 3
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	SELL	89.0¢	30.854	Mar 3
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	BUY	75.0¢	300	Mar 3
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.2¢	1,000	Mar 3
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.9¢	200	Mar 3
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?	SELL	66.0¢	75.74	Mar 3
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?	SELL	66.0¢	2.167	Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	40.0¢	100	Mar 3
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?	SELL	66.0¢	225.912	Mar 3
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?	BUY	9.0¢	57.88	Mar 2
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	21.0¢	100	Mar 2
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?	BUY	9.0¢	122.12	Mar 2
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?	BUY	9.0¢	20	Mar 1
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?	BUY	8.1¢	200	Mar 1
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?	BUY	61.0¢	200	Mar 1
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?	BUY	64.0¢	100	Mar 1
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?	BUY	41.0¢	3.84	Feb 28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	3.9¢	500	Feb 28

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing39.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.19

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.3%

Win Consistency27.1%

Profit Factor1.04

Drawdown Resilience0.84

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.84

Weekly Sharpe est.0.64

Trading Activity997 trades · 112 active days

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue