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omershw

0x1cd355...225b39
#10223 overall · top 48.54%
Smart Score
20
Win Rate
44.0%
Total P&L
+$90
Trade Count
117
Sharpe Ratio
0.05
Sortino Ratio
0.16
Max Drawdown
94.9%
ROI
9.5%
Profit Factor
1.63
Kelly Fraction
0.170
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
019.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?SELL85.2¢10.56Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY77.0¢3.896Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY60.0¢6.667Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?SELL36.0¢6.81Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY44.0¢6.818Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL52.0¢14.34Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY61.1¢1.637Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY63.9¢1.565Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY35.9¢11.142Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?SELL56.0¢9.61Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL15.5¢7.22Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY50.5¢1.98Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY61.0¢5Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY51.0¢3.922Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY52.0¢9.615Mar 2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 4, 2026?SELL90.0¢6.75Mar 2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 4, 2026?BUY74.0¢6.757Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL99.8¢9.99Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY43.0¢6.977Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL96.7¢3.32Feb 28

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%9%< 10%5%10–20%9%20–30%39%30–50%26%50–70%7%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing19.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.09
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.1%
Win Consistency50.9%
Profit Factor0.52
Drawdown Resilience0.42
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42
Weekly Sharpe est.0.32
Trading Activity117 trades · 56 active days
MayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$14719d profit37d loss
MayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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